Temple City, CA housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+8% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
• Prices. Home values are up 0.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 10% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+85% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (26/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.8% of list); 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 72% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $252k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,513 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $3,034/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $426 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (57% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.3% to +8.0% (80% range; middle estimate +0.9%), chance of a rise 57%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.