Hinsdale County, CO housing market

What this means

• Prices. Home values are up 0.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 46% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−11% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (29/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.0% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 43% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $109k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $279 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.9% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

ZIP codes in Hinsdale County, CO