Hardee County, FL housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$244,900
+2.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
8.3%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
48%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$405
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 48% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 54% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.5% below their final list price; 8% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $64k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,140 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $405 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from tornadoes, hail and wind. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.7% (80% range; middle estimate +2.8%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Hardee County, FL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wauchula, FL 33873 | $239.6K | +1.5% | 77 |
| Bowling Green, FL 33834 | $205.9K | +0.9% | 44 |
| Zolfo Springs, FL 33890 | $296.2K | +3.1% | 47 |
| Ona, FL 33865 | $429.4K | +6.0% | 26 |