Alexander County, IL housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 51
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Home Value
$51,236
−17.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
51
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
13.0 months
Jun 2026
Days on Market
161 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
85.5%
Jun 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
12%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$351
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are down 17.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 40% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 28% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+27% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (51/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 14.4% below their final list price (as of Jun 2026); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 12% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $19k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $351 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.2% to +7.2% (80% range; middle estimate +0.3%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Alexander County, IL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cairo, IL 62914 | $34.1K | −12.7% | 56 |
| Tamms, IL 62988 | $95.3K | −10.3% | 31 |
| Thebes, IL 62990 | $112.3K | +4.6% | 64 |
| Thebes, IL 62957 | $74.6K | −5.4% | 73 |
| Olive Branch, IL 62969 | – | – | 28 |
| ZIP 62962 | – | – | – |