Marshall County, IL housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 15
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Home Value
$140,199
+6.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
15
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
33 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
12%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
18%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
22%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$111
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 22% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 72% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (15/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.9% below their final list price; 12% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 18% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $111 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.7% to +12.7% (80% range; middle estimate +5.8%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Marshall County, IL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lacon, IL 61540 | $137.2K | +8.9% | 18 |
| Henry, IL 61537 | $126K | +9.3% | 11 |
| Toluca, IL 61369 | $115.1K | +10.6% | 49 |
| Hopewell, IL 61565 | $174.7K | +10.6% | 7 |
| Varna, IL 61375 | $215.3K | +6.6% | 18 |
| La Rose, IL 61541 | – | – | 37 |
| Speer, IL 61479 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 61424 | – | – | 13 |