Randolph County, IL housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 73
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Home Value
$154,820
+7.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
73
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
68 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
7.6%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$174
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+8% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 34% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+26% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (73/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.4% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $45k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,701 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $174 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155).
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Randolph County, IL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chester, IL 62233 | $133.6K | +3.0% | 67 |
| Sparta, IL 62286 | $132.6K | +4.8% | 26 |
| Steeleville, IL 62288 | $167.9K | +9.7% | 62 |
| Evansville, IL 62242 | $144.5K | −0.4% | 21 |
| Percy, IL 62272 | $101.3K | +2.2% | 62 |
| Prairie du Rocher, IL 62277 | $166.7K | +9.3% | 57 |
| Ellis Grove, IL 62241 | $172.4K | +8.0% | 41 |
| Baldwin, IL 62217 | $121.1K | −1.3% | 0 |
| Tilden, IL 62292 | $66.9K | +3.0% | 2 |
| Walsh, IL 62297 | $207.2K | +7.9% | 13 |
| Modoc, IL 62261 | – | – | 21 |