Van Buren County, IA housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 30
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Home Value
$194,976
+4.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
30
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.4 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
19%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.8%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
66%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$222
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 66% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 16% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−16% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (30/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.2% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 19% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $53k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,510 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $222 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +14% over the next 12 months (83% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.9% to +13.5% (80% range; middle estimate +6.6%), chance of a rise 83%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Van Buren County, IA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keosauqua, IA 52565 | $214.2K | +4.5% | 38 |
| Milton, IA 52570 | $167.4K | +2.0% | 5 |
| Bonaparte, IA 52620 | $198.7K | +7.5% | 53 |
| Douds, IA 52551 | $246.5K | +5.6% | 3 |
| Birmingham, IA 52535 | $193.3K | +8.0% | 52 |
| Cantril, IA 52542 | $193.2K | +2.0% | 27 |
| Stockport, IA 52651 | $202.6K | +9.1% | 29 |
| Mount Sterling, IA 52573 | – | – | 64 |
| Selma, IA 52588 | – | – | 13 |