Chase County, KS housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 51
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Home Value
$172,468
+4.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
51
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.5 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
59 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
87.7%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
29%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$306
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 29% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 46% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−44% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (51/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 12.3% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $306 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.2% to +12.2% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Chase County, KS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cottonwood Falls, KS 66845 | $134.9K | +2.8% | 18 |
| Wilsey, KS 66869 | $112.4K | +6.1% | 71 |
| Elmdale, KS 66850 | – | – | – |
| Cedar Point, KS 66843 | – | – | 13 |
| Matfield Green, KS 66862 | – | – | 71 |