Greene County, MS housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 28
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Home Value
$168,097
+18.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
28
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
54 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$294
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 18.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 60% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−20% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (28/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.1% below their final list price; 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $46k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,855 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $294 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.3% to +11.1% (80% range; middle estimate +4.2%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Greene County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leakesville, MS 39451 | $155.1K | +16.1% | 41 |
| State Line, MS 39362 | $151.6K | +17.6% | 50 |
| McLain, MS 39456 | $153.3K | +13.3% | 62 |
| Neely, MS 39461 | $166.7K | +19.8% | 28 |