Prairie County, MT housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 24
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Home Value
$133,878
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
24
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
0.5 months
Dec 2021
Days on Market
112 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
9.1%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$113
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+9% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 69% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+25% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (24/100; U.S.: 54): 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,144 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $113 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.9% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Prairie County, MT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terry, MT 59349 | $132.9K | +5.9% | 25 |
| Fallon, MT 59326 | $132.9K | −3.6% | 3 |