Roosevelt County, NM housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 30
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Home Value
$150,001
+1.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
30
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
70.1%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,014/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-22%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$467
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 22% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 1.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 60% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (30/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 29.9% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $40k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,922 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $467 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.4% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Roosevelt County, NM
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portales, NM 88130 | $148.5K | +1.5% | 55 |
| Elida, NM 88116 | – | – | 72 |
| Floyd, NM 88118 | – | – | 48 |
| Rogers, NM 88132 | – | – | 66 |
| Causey, NM 88113 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 88115 | – | – | 61 |
| Pep, NM 88126 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 88125 | – | – | – |