Mitchell County, NC housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 89
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Home Value
$241,017
+2.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
89
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
11.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
104 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
26%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
29%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$149
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 29% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 44% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (89/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.3% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $58k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,354 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $149 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.2% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.3%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Mitchell County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spruce Pine, NC 28777 | $254.9K | +1.5% | 84 |
| Bakersville, NC 28705 | $229.1K | +3.8% | 98 |