Wheeler County, OR housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 75
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Home Value
$318,928
+6.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
75
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.2 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
137 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
12%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$393
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 12% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−9% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (75/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.0% of list) (as of Jul 2026); 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $77k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $393 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding. Flood isn't covered by standard homeowners insurance.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (62% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.7%), chance of a rise 62%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Wheeler County, OR
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fossil, OR 97830 | $246.3K | +5.4% | 69 |
| Spray, OR 97750 | $401.5K | +5.2% | 32 |
| Spray, OR 97874 | $374.5K | +7.4% | 50 |