Kingsbury County, SD housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$255,613
+4.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
20.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
69 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
28%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.3%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
36%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$93
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 36% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 262% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+30% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.7% below their final list price (as of Jul 2026); 28% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $67k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,891 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $93 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (48% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.7% to +6.7% (80% range; middle estimate −0.2%), chance of a rise 48%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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ZIP codes in Kingsbury County, SD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arlington, SD 57212 | $322.3K | +9.4% | 71 |
| De Smet, SD 57231 | $262.7K | +4.9% | 100 |
| Lake Preston, SD 57249 | – | – | 81 |
| Iroquois, SD 57353 | – | – | 10 |
| Erwin, SD 57233 | – | – | 71 |
| Oldham, SD 57051 | – | – | 8 |
| Badger, SD 57214 | – | – | 57 |