Lipscomb County, TX housing market

What this means

• Prices. Home values are up 1.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 40% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. There are 367% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+75% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): 27% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 16% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $40k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $179 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155).
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.5% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.0%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

ZIP codes in Lipscomb County, TX