Le Mars, IA metro housing market

What this means

• Prices. Home values are up 5.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 14% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (60/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.4% below their final list price; 35% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $76k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,528 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $113 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +11% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.1% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +4.8%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

Counties in Le Mars, IA metro