North Dakota housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+5% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
• Prices. Home values are up 5.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
• Supply. Listings are 42% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (35/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.3% below their final list price; 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $75k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,705 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $108 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
• Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +10% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

Leaning up

Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.8% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.5%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

Counties in North Dakota

Metros in North Dakota