Northampton, MA 01053 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 1
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Home Value
$466,862
+5.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
1
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
30 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
41%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
16%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$126
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 16% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 67% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−33% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (1/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.5% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 41% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $125k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $126 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hampshire County, MA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amherst, MA 01002 | $544.8K | +2.1% | 15 |
| South Hadley, MA 01075 | $387.4K | +0.6% | 24 |
| Easthampton, MA 01027 | $441.2K | +2.4% | 11 |
| Northampton, MA 01060 | $503.8K | +4.9% | 31 |
| Belchertown, MA 01007 | $477.5K | +2.8% | 31 |
| ZIP 01003 | – | – | – |
| Ware, MA 01082 | $358.2K | +2.7% | 21 |
| Northampton, MA 01062 | $506.1K | +5.4% | 20 |
| Southampton, MA 01073 | $502K | +3.4% | 11 |
| Granby, MA 01033 | $406.5K | +1.2% | 6 |
| Hadley, MA 01035 | $529.6K | +1.8% | 14 |
| Williamsburg, MA 01096 | $435.8K | +1.7% | 76 |
| Huntington, MA 01050 | $363.9K | +0.3% | 28 |
| Hatfield, MA 01038 | $501.8K | +3.2% | 53 |
| Northampton, MA 01063 | – | – | – |
| Whately, MA 01039 | $463.9K | +2.5% | 5 |
| Cummington, MA 01026 | $390.1K | +1.8% | 4 |
| Worthington, MA 01098 | $410.9K | +3.7% | 26 |
| West Hatfield, MA 01088 | – | – | 49 |
| Plainfield, MA 01070 | $333.5K | +4.2% | 18 |
| Goshen, MA 01032 | $393.8K | +3.5% | 17 |
| Chesterfield, MA 01012 | $404.5K | 0.0% | 32 |
| Middlefield, MA 01243 | $345.4K | +2.8% | 8 |
| North Hatfield, MA 01066 | – | – | 13 |
| West Chesterfield, MA 01084 | – | – | 32 |