Newton, MA 02462 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 60
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Home Value
$1.3M
+5.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
60
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
72 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
44%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-12%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$86
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 12% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 5.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 71% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−20% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (60/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.5% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $318k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $86 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.8% to +10.5% (80% range; middle estimate +3.4%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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