Wareham, MA 02538 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 20
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Home Value
$478,873
+3.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
20
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
42 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
35%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
103.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
2.6%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$112
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 37% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−10% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (20/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (103.2% of list); 35% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $122k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,262 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $112 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.6% to +12.7% (80% range; middle estimate +5.6%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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