Nantucket, MA 02554 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 72
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Home Value
$3.2M
+8.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
72
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
82 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
147%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
37%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$319
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 37% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 8.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 94% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−17% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (72/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.6% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 147% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $689k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $3,027 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $319 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.8% to +12.5% (80% range; middle estimate +5.5%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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