Oak Bluffs, MA 02557 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 69
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Home Value
$1.3M
+4.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
69
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
67 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
19%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
87%
Dec 2023
Overvalued %
61%
Dec 2023
Expected Disaster Loss
$95
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 61% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 31% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm, so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (69/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.9% below their final list price; 19% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 87% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $297k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $3,027 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $95 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.7% to +11.6% (80% range; middle estimate +4.6%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Dukes County, MA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tisbury, MA 02568 | $1.4M | +6.5% | 100 |
| Edgartown, MA 02539 | $1.9M | +5.6% | 71 |
| West Tisbury, MA 02575 | $1.7M | +4.2% | 87 |
| Chilmark, MA 02535 | $2.2M | +2.6% | 100 |
| Falmouth, MA 02543 | $1.5M | +3.5% | 63 |
| Gosnold, MA 02713 | $1.3M | +0.5% | 27 |