Barnstable, MA 02635 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 45
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Home Value
$878,404
+1.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
45
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
56 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
44%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
57%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$113
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 53% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−21% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (45/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.2% below their final list price; 44% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 57% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $208k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,523 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $113 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.3% to +12.0% (80% range; middle estimate +5.0%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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