Warwick, RI 02888 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 7
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Home Value
$414,417
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
7
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
23 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
102.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
36%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
50%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$84
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 50% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 47% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+12% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (7/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (102.3% of list); 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 36% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $109k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,809 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $84 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (81% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.5% to +12.8% (80% range; middle estimate +5.7%), chance of a rise 81%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Kent County, RI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry, RI 02816 | $460.8K | +4.4% | 6 |
| Warwick, RI 02886 | $424.7K | +4.0% | 7 |
| West Warwick, RI 02893 | $408.3K | +5.5% | 8 |
| Warwick, RI 02889 | $414.4K | +5.3% | 7 |
| East Greenwich, RI 02818 | $730.4K | +3.9% | 6 |
| West Greenwich, RI 02817 | $566K | −0.5% | 16 |
| Coventry, RI 02827 | $549.8K | +6.1% | 35 |