Manchester, NH 03104 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 11
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Home Value
$481,280
+1.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
11
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
42 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
44%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,908/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$82
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 65% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (11/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.7% of list); 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $129k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,097 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,325/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $82 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.7% to +11.6% (80% range; middle estimate +4.6%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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