Rye Beach, NH 03871 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 55
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Home Value
$2.9M
+3.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
55
May 2026
Months of Supply
4.6 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
147 days
May 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Mar 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.2%
Jul 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
138%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$122
Dec 2025
What this means
- Prices. Home values are up 3.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 100% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−100% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (55/100; U.S.: 54) (as of May 2026): homes sell for about 6.8% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%) (as of Mar 2026).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 138% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $655k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $122 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.9%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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