Rockland, ME 04841 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 85
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Home Value
$344,559
−3.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
85
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
80 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
45%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
50%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,719/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
51%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$76
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 51% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 3.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 5% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 14% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+15% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (85/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.5% below their final list price; 45% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 50% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $631/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $76 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.5% (80% range; middle estimate +1.5%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Knox County, ME
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Camden, ME 04843 | $691.6K | +5.5% | 62 |
| Warren, ME 04864 | $346.2K | −2.1% | 58 |
| Union, ME 04862 | $389.8K | +1.3% | 85 |
| Rockport, ME 04856 | $593.2K | −3.2% | 74 |
| Thomaston, ME 04861 | $340.2K | −2.9% | 61 |
| Hope, ME 04847 | $395.7K | +0.1% | 20 |
| Washington, ME 04574 | $348.9K | +2.5% | 76 |
| St George, ME 04860 | $517.9K | +0.1% | 70 |
| Owls Head, ME 04854 | $493.2K | −2.1% | 37 |
| Cushing, ME 04563 | $494.2K | +4.0% | 100 |
| South Thomaston, ME 04858 | $472.3K | +1.9% | 80 |
| Vinalhaven, ME 04863 | $471.2K | +1.4% | 90 |
| Friendship, ME 04547 | $391.2K | −2.8% | 39 |
| Spruce Head, ME 04859 | – | – | 56 |
| North Haven, ME 04853 | $749.1K | +7.1% | 56 |
| ZIP 04855 | – | – | 70 |
| Isle Au Haut, ME 04645 | – | – | 10 |
| Matinicus, ME 04851 | – | – | 60 |