Belfast, ME 04915 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 93
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Home Value
$385,468
+5.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
93
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
102 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
20%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
44%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,493/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$95
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 4% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+23% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (93/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.0% below their final list price; 20% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $98k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $958/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $95 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Waldo County, ME
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincolnville, ME 04849 | $475.9K | +2.1% | 56 |
| Winterport, ME 04496 | $310.4K | +10.1% | 28 |
| Searsport, ME 04974 | $322.8K | +2.1% | 68 |
| Stockton Springs, ME 04981 | $370.9K | +6.4% | 60 |
| Thorndike, ME 04986 | $249.1K | +4.3% | 94 |
| Unity, ME 04988 | $288.2K | +6.1% | 31 |
| Morrill, ME 04952 | $318.8K | +0.8% | 36 |
| Brooks, ME 04921 | $289K | +2.8% | 78 |
| Searsmont, ME 04973 | $322K | +5.5% | 61 |
| Montville, ME 04941 | $286K | +3.6% | 24 |
| Palermo, ME 04354 | $363.4K | −0.8% | 29 |
| Frankfort, ME 04438 | $269.6K | +3.9% | 21 |
| Monroe, ME 04951 | $291.3K | −1.3% | 8 |
| Troy, ME 04987 | $259K | +8.2% | 20 |
| Liberty, ME 04949 | $338.2K | +5.7% | 76 |
| Burnham, ME 04922 | $267.3K | +1.2% | 23 |
| Islesboro, ME 04848 | $442.7K | −0.9% | 79 |