Fairfield, VT 05448 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 23
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Home Value
$387,494
+4.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
23
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
86 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
44%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$101
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 44% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 60% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (23/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.3% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $105k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $101 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (60% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.8% to +8.5% (80% range; middle estimate +1.4%), chance of a rise 60%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Franklin County, VT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Albans, VT 05478 | $373.2K | +0.7% | 54 |
| Swanton, VT 05488 | $348.4K | +0.6% | 53 |
| Sheldon, VT 05450 | $321.9K | +2.4% | 42 |
| Fairfax, VT 05454 | $460.4K | +0.9% | 32 |
| Richford, VT 05476 | $252.4K | −1.2% | 15 |
| Highgate, VT 05459 | $338.2K | +4.3% | 53 |
| Sheldon, VT 05483 | $348K | +3.8% | 11 |
| Franklin, VT 05457 | $327.1K | +4.7% | 45 |
| Fairfield, VT 05455 | $402.1K | +4.7% | 92 |
| Montgomery, VT 05471 | $338.4K | +1.0% | 87 |
| Bakersfield, VT 05441 | $349.9K | −1.0% | 24 |
| East Berkshire, VT 05447 | – | – | 15 |
| ZIP 05481 | – | – | 1 |
| ZIP 05485 | – | – | 0 |