North Hero, VT 05474 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$543,315
+2.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
80 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
40%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
17%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$144
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 17% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 45% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+78% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.7% below their final list price; 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 40% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $137k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $144 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grand Isle County, VT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Isle, VT 05458 | $511.3K | +3.6% | 38 |
| Alburgh, VT 05440 | $329.7K | +6.0% | 36 |
| South Hero, VT 05486 | $629.6K | +2.9% | 41 |
| Isle La Motte, VT 05463 | $413.3K | +5.4% | 18 |