Morrisville, VT 05661 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 64
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Home Value
$473,602
+1.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
64
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
57 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
57%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,950/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
56%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$82
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 56% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 40% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+17% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (64/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.0% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 57% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $127k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,228/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $82 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lamoille County, VT
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stowe, VT 05672 | $1M | +6.2% | 82 |
| Johnson, VT 05656 | $344.6K | −2.8% | 39 |
| Hyde Park, VT 05655 | $382.5K | +2.4% | 12 |
| Cambridge, VT 05464 | $376K | −1.0% | 30 |
| Elmore, VT 05680 | $359.5K | −2.1% | 37 |
| Cambridge, VT 05444 | $433.8K | +0.5% | 70 |
| Eden, VT 05652 | $292.4K | +5.9% | 51 |
| Waterville, VT 05492 | $342.1K | −4.8% | 25 |
| Eden, VT 05653 | $313.6K | −3.7% | 17 |
| Belvidere, VT 05442 | $328.7K | −7.0% | 6 |