Bethpage, NY 11714 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 25
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Home Value
$790,880
+5.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
25
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
53%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
43%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$57
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 43% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 25% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+5% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (25/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.5% of list); 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 53% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $214k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,162 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $57 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.7% to +11.6% (80% range; middle estimate +4.6%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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