Big Flats, NY 14814 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 57
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Home Value
$270,112
+9.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
57
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
106 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
29%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$81
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 29% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 9.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 9% below the 2017-19 norm, close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (57/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.3% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $83k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $927 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $81 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +13% over the next 12 months (83% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.1% to +13.3% (80% range; middle estimate +6.2%), chance of a rise 83%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Chemung County, NY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Horseheads, NY 14845 | $229.3K | +7.1% | 33 |
| Elmira, NY 14904 | $106.7K | +1.2% | 46 |
| Elmira, NY 14901 | $115.4K | +8.6% | 75 |
| Elmira, NY 14905 | $184K | +5.8% | 27 |
| Elmira, NY 14903 | $165.9K | +6.8% | 18 |
| Pine City, NY 14871 | $208K | +6.3% | 43 |
| Erin, NY 14838 | $205.7K | +7.3% | 23 |
| Van Etten, NY 14889 | $188.2K | +12.8% | 29 |
| Lowman, NY 14861 | $174.9K | +6.0% | 7 |
| Wellsburg, NY 14894 | $167.6K | +7.8% | 42 |
| Millport, NY 14864 | $176.6K | +6.4% | 67 |
| Chemung, NY 14825 | $173.7K | +8.5% | 1 |
| Pine Valley, NY 14872 | $178K | +11.6% | 30 |
| Breesport, NY 14816 | $190.4K | +6.9% | 28 |