Johnstown, PA 15904 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 1
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Home Value
$167,694
+0.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
1
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
30 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
9.8%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
103.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
19%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,081/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-18%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$41
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 18% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 24% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 70% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (1/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (103.5% of list); 10% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 19% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $44k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $995 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $41 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.8% to +9.5% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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