Philadelphia, PA 19141 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 86
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Home Value
$157,517
−2.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
86
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
57 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,165/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
5.7%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$81
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+6% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 14% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 25% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+45% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (86/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.9% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $41k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $132/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $81 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (55% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.6% to +7.7% (80% range; middle estimate +0.6%), chance of a rise 55%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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