Baltimore, MD 21223 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 13% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
• Prices. Home values are down 6.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 25% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. There are 49% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+33% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (79/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (112.4% of list); 23% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 14% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $22k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,480 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,061/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $68 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −11% to +5% over the next 12 months (37% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −11.0% to +5.3% (80% range; middle estimate −1.7%), chance of a rise 37%, of a 5%+ drop 29%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

Other ZIP codes in Baltimore city, MD