Saint Michaels, MD 21663 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 76
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Home Value
$729,248
+2.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
76
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
80 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
56%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
41%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$88
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 41% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 43% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+68% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (76/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.7% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 56% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $169k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $88 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.1% to +9.2% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Talbot County, MD
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Easton, MD 21601 | $445.5K | −0.4% | 49 |
| Trappe, MD 21673 | $414.6K | −2.9% | 34 |
| Cordova, MD 21625 | $443.8K | +2.0% | 29 |
| Oxford, MD 21654 | $911.2K | +0.1% | 14 |
| Tilghman, MD 21671 | $473.4K | +2.4% | 87 |
| Royal Oak, MD 21662 | $1.1M | +3.4% | 43 |
| Bozman, MD 21612 | $947K | +5.9% | 44 |
| Wittman, MD 21676 | $480.7K | +1.5% | 72 |
| McDaniel, MD 21647 | $513.8K | +0.6% | 22 |
| Wye Mills, MD 21679 | $663K | +3.7% | 47 |
| Sherwood, MD 21665 | $736.5K | +2.1% | 25 |
| Saint Michaels, MD 21624 | $479.4K | −0.8% | 37 |
| Bozman, MD 21652 | $592.2K | +1.6% | 97 |
| Newcomb, MD 21653 | – | – | 18 |