Dunnsville, VA 22454 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 43
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Home Value
$283,672
+3.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
43
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
67 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
70%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$144
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 70% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 35% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−7% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (43/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.8% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $68k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $144 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Essex County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tappahannock, VA 22560 | $306K | +1.7% | 31 |
| Caret, VA 22436 | $289.4K | +4.4% | 15 |
| Champlain, VA 22438 | $283.2K | +7.2% | 40 |
| Laneview, VA 22504 | $327K | +5.2% | 67 |
| Hustle, VA 22476 | $257.7K | +6.2% | 7 |
| Loretto, VA 22509 | – | – | 23 |