Flint Hill, VA 22627 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 34
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Home Value
$626,716
+4.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
34
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
89 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
45%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
5.7%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$141
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+6% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 52% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+300% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (34/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.1% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 45% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $144k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $141 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.9% to +11.5% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Rappahannock County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amissville, VA 20106 | $601.8K | +1.8% | 90 |
| Castleton, VA 22716 | $591K | +4.3% | 50 |
| Sperryville, VA 22740 | $543.3K | +4.4% | 46 |
| Washington, VA 22747 | $681.8K | +3.8% | 94 |
| Chester Gap, VA 22623 | $341.5K | +4.6% | 14 |
| Huntly, VA 22640 | $604.3K | +3.0% | 29 |
| Woodville, VA 22749 | $687.9K | +5.8% | 67 |