Stanley, VA 22851 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 74
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Home Value
$304,939
+6.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
74
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
87 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
41%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
59%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$168
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 59% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 37% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−22% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (74/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.2% below their final list price; 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 41% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $73k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $168 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.7%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Page County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luray, VA 22835 | $319.2K | +3.9% | 53 |
| Shenandoah, VA 22849 | $284.4K | +3.3% | 58 |
| Rileyville, VA 22650 | $351.5K | +2.6% | 48 |