Sandy Hook, VA 23153 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 37
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Home Value
$549,858
+4.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
37
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
85 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
26%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$82
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 26% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 40% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+20% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (37/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.9% of list); 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $127k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,387 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $82 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (75% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.2% to +11.1% (80% range; middle estimate +4.1%), chance of a rise 75%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Goochland County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henrico, VA 23238 | $501.8K | +3.2% | 15 |
| Manakin Sabot, VA 23103 | $793.7K | +2.4% | 14 |
| Goochland, VA 23063 | $414.9K | +4.0% | 3 |
| Maidens, VA 23102 | $550.9K | +2.9% | 3 |
| Columbia, VA 23038 | $326.2K | +5.2% | 18 |
| Gumspring, VA 23065 | $390.6K | +4.3% | 66 |
| Crozier, VA 23039 | $542.7K | +1.7% | 0 |
| Oilville, VA 23129 | $679.7K | +4.3% | 7 |