Cape Charles, VA 23310 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 84
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Home Value
$411,631
+4.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
84
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
97 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
48%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$161
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 34% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 46% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−6% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (84/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.0% below their final list price; 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 48% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $99k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $161 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (72% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.7% to +10.6% (80% range; middle estimate +3.6%), chance of a rise 72%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Northampton County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exmore, VA 23350 | $199.3K | +2.0% | 84 |
| Machipongo, VA 23405 | – | – | 58 |
| Nassawadox, VA 23413 | – | – | 83 |
| Birdsnest, VA 23307 | – | – | 13 |
| ZIP 23347 | – | – | 4 |
| Franktown, VA 23354 | – | – | 58 |
| ZIP 23486 | – | – | 18 |
| ZIP 23316 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 23398 | – | – | 0 |
| ZIP 23408 | – | – | 64 |