Ford, VA 23850 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 46
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Home Value
$280,049
+5.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
46
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
19 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
67%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
48%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$75
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 48% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (46/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.6% below their final list price; 67% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $68k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,337 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $75 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.5% to +10.8% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Dinwiddie County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petersburg, VA 23803 | $240.5K | +2.6% | 47 |
| Sutherland, VA 23885 | $350.6K | +5.2% | 8 |
| Dinwiddie, VA 23841 | $313.4K | +5.5% | 61 |
| McKenney, VA 23872 | $275.1K | +5.9% | 63 |
| Church Road, VA 23833 | $340.2K | +7.1% | 1 |
| Dewitt, VA 23840 | $302.9K | +7.3% | 62 |
| Carson, VA 23830 | $343.2K | +4.5% | 14 |
| Ford, VA 23894 | $309.9K | +7.4% | 38 |