Jarratt, VA 23867 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 30
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Home Value
$172,053
+3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
30
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
44 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$102
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 33% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (30/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.2% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $102 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (59% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.0% to +8.4% (80% range; middle estimate +1.3%), chance of a rise 59%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Sussex County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waverly, VA 23890 | $193.2K | +3.1% | 19 |
| Wakefield, VA 23888 | $213.8K | +7.2% | 96 |
| Stony Creek, VA 23882 | $192K | +5.8% | 15 |
| ZIP 23891 | – | – | – |
| Yale, VA 23897 | $199.3K | +6.7% | 41 |
| Sussex, VA 23884 | – | – | 71 |