Lawrenceville, VA 23868 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 64
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Home Value
$128,259
+3.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
64
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-34%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$126
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 34% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 3.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 17% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 13% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−21% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (64/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.2% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $33k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $126 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (69% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.3% to +10.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.9%), chance of a rise 69%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Brunswick County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brodnax, VA 23920 | $144.1K | +7.3% | 51 |
| Alberta, VA 23821 | $143.4K | +7.3% | 49 |
| Valentines, VA 23887 | $426.5K | +1.6% | 3 |
| Warfield, VA 23889 | $156.9K | +6.6% | 54 |
| Freeman, VA 23856 | $115.2K | +5.6% | 2 |
| White Plains, VA 23893 | – | – | 57 |
| Dolphin, VA 23843 | $160.6K | +11.2% | 68 |
| Gasburg, VA 23857 | $312.5K | +7.1% | 26 |
| Dundas, VA 23938 | $132.4K | +5.5% | 6 |
| Ebony, VA 23845 | $407.1K | +5.6% | 6 |
| Rawlings, VA 23876 | $164.5K | −1.9% | 53 |