Fries, VA 24330 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 88
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Home Value
$152,743
+5.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
88
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
74 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
56%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
9.8%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$95
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+10% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 19% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+36% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (88/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.1% below their final list price; 56% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $38k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,018 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $95 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (70% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.1% to +10.2% (80% range; middle estimate +3.2%), chance of a rise 70%, of a 5%+ drop 12%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grayson County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galax, VA 24333 | $191.5K | +8.9% | 71 |
| Independence, VA 24348 | $225.9K | +5.8% | 66 |
| Troutdale, VA 24378 | $216.7K | +6.9% | 58 |
| Mouth of Wilson, VA 24363 | $233.2K | +5.3% | 10 |
| Elk Creek, VA 24326 | $245.4K | +6.4% | 37 |
| Whitetop, VA 24292 | $185.4K | +4.3% | 88 |