Buffalo Junction, VA 24529 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$258,040
+3.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
70 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
12%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
68%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
157%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$102
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 157% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 36% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+86% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.8% below their final list price; 12% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 68% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $102 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Mecklenburg County, VA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Hill, VA 23970 | $209K | +2.9% | 63 |
| Chase City, VA 23924 | $149.8K | +6.7% | 67 |
| Clarksville, VA 23927 | $311.8K | +1.8% | 68 |
| La Crosse, VA 23950 | $180.2K | +3.5% | 44 |
| Boydton, VA 23917 | $245K | +5.0% | 70 |
| Bracey, VA 23919 | $191.4K | +1.7% | 58 |
| Baskerville, VA 23915 | $210.8K | +3.6% | 1 |
| Skipwith, VA 23968 | $188K | +4.0% | 98 |
| Nelson, VA 24580 | $182.6K | +3.8% | 79 |