Wardensville, WV 26851 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 72
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Home Value
$230,469
+3.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
72
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
107 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
59%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$223
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 59% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 60% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−30% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (72/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $53k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,072 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $223 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +13% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.8% to +12.5% (80% range; middle estimate +5.5%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hardy County, WV
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moorefield, WV 26836 | $212.6K | +6.1% | 25 |
| Maysville, WV 26818 | $217.9K | +2.1% | 1 |
| Mathias, WV 26812 | $212K | +2.9% | 61 |
| Baker, WV 26801 | $258.2K | +5.7% | 12 |
| Old Fields, WV 26845 | $249.2K | +1.5% | 60 |
| Lost City, WV 26810 | $282.7K | +2.9% | 76 |
| Milam, WV 26838 | – | – | 6 |