Graham, NC 27253 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 74
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Home Value
$300,851
+1.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
74
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
65 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,451/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
30%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$117
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 30% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 85% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+18% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (74/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.6% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $72k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $358/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $117 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.2% to +8.1% (80% range; middle estimate +1.1%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Alamance County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burlington, NC 27215 | $296.2K | +1.3% | 44 |
| Burlington, NC 27217 | $224K | +1.6% | 60 |
| Mebane, NC 27302 | $350.4K | −0.7% | 64 |
| Elon, NC 27244 | $318.6K | +2.0% | 83 |
| Snow Camp, NC 27349 | $314.3K | +2.9% | 19 |
| Haw River, NC 27258 | $324.1K | +0.7% | 87 |
| ZIP 27201 | – | – | 62 |
| ZIP 27202 | – | – | 20 |
| ZIP 27340 | – | – | 22 |