Kinston, NC 28504 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 81
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Home Value
$189,455
+3.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
81
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
86 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
76%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$176
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 76% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 10% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (81/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.8% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $176 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (59% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.1% to +8.2% (80% range; middle estimate +1.2%), chance of a rise 59%, of a 5%+ drop 17%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lenoir County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kinston, NC 28501 | $99.3K | +7.8% | 78 |
| La Grange, NC 28551 | $184.6K | +7.1% | 80 |
| Deep Run, NC 28525 | $151.6K | +5.5% | 39 |